The Indian Meteorological Department said that the low pressure formed in the southeast Arabian Sea turned into Cyclone Byparjoy on Tuesday evening. The name ‘Biparjoy’ was given by Bangladesh.
“A deep depression over southeast and adjoining east-central Arabian Sea moved northwards at a speed of 4 kmph, intensified into Cyclone ‘Byparjoy’ (pronounced ‘Byporjoy’) and centered 920 km west-southwest of Goa. 1050 km southwest of Mumbai, 1130 km South-southwest of Porbandar, 1430 km south of Karachi at 1730 hours,” the IMD said in a bulletin.
It will move almost northward and gradually become a severe cyclonic storm.
Rough seas are likely to be severe over Kerala-Karnataka coast, Lakshadweep-Maldives coast on June 6 and Konkan-Goa-Maharashtra coast from June 8 to June 10. Fishermen who went out to sea have been advised to return to shore. .
The IMD said on Monday that the formation of low pressure over the Southeast Arabian Sea and its intensity is expected to have a decisive influence on the advance of the monsoon towards the Kerala coast.
At the same time, the Meteorological Department has not confirmed that monsoon will arrive in Kerala.
Private forecasting agency Skymet Weather said monsoon will begin in Kerala on June 8 or June 9, but it is expected to be a “mild and mild entry”.
“These strong weather systems in the Arabian Sea destroy the advance of the monsoon deep inland. Under their influence, the monsoon stream may reach coastal areas but will struggle to penetrate beyond the Western Ghats,” it said.
Skymet had earlier predicted the onset of monsoon in Kerala on June 7.
“Southwest Monsoon is likely to arrive within this bracket. Lakshadweep, Kerala and coastal areas of Karnataka should receive two consecutive days of fixed rainfall. Accordingly, the spread and intensity of rainfall may match these requirements on June 8 or June 9. The start of the annual event may not be loud and noisy. It will be a mild and gentle entry to begin with. will only make,” said the private weather forecasting agency.
IMD Senior Scientist DS Pai said that Kerala received good rains on Monday as well and conditions are favorable for the onset of monsoon in the next two to three days.
The southern peninsula will receive rain under the influence of cyclone and depression forming over the Bay of Bengal. Pai, however, said that further progress of the monsoon beyond the southern peninsula will occur after the cyclone has weakened.
Southwest Monsoon usually starts in Kerala on June 1 with a standard deviation of seven days. By mid-May, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has announced that monsoon will reach Kerala on June 4.
The Southeast Monsoon reached the southern state on May 29 last year, June 3 in 2021, June 1 in 2020, June 8 in 2019 and May 29 in 2018.
A little late arrival in Kerala does not mean that the monsoon will arrive late in other parts of the country, say scientists. It does not affect the total rainfall of the country during the season.
The IMD had earlier said India is expected to receive normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon season despite developing El Nino conditions.
Northwest India is expected to receive below normal rainfall. The eastern, northeastern, central and southern peninsulas are expected to receive 94-106 percent of normal rainfall of the long-term average of 87 cm.
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